The short answer is yes, data science absolutely can predict which of your customers are most ready for an upsell. For too long, upselling has relied on gut feel or broad-stroke campaigns. We’re now at a point where Australian SMEs can leverage the data they already have to pinpoint opportunities with remarkable accuracy, boosting revenue without frustrating customers.
Traditionally, upselling feels like a gamble. You risk annoying a customer who isn’t interested, potentially damaging the relationship. Data science changes this by shifting from guessing to predicting. It’s about understanding behaviour, not just demographics. Here’s what we’re seeing work well for our clients:
- Recency, Frequency, Monetary Value (RFM): This is a classic for a reason. Analysing how recently a customer purchased, how often they purchase, and how much they spend gives a strong indication of engagement and potential. Customers with high RFM scores are prime upsell candidates.
- Product Usage Data: If you offer a software or subscription service, how are customers *using* your product? Are they hitting feature limits? Are they consistently using core features but not exploring advanced ones? This signals a need – and an opportunity – to upsell to a higher tier or add-on.
- Customer Support Interactions: What are customers asking your support team? Frequent requests for features that are only available in higher-priced plans are a clear signal. Analysing support tickets can reveal unmet needs that an upsell could address.
- Website Behaviour: What pages are customers visiting? Are they looking at premium product pages or comparing different plans? Tracking website activity provides valuable insights into their interests and intentions.
The beauty of this approach is that it’s scalable. You don’t need a huge data science team in-house. There are increasingly accessible tools and agencies – like us – that can help you analyse your existing data and build predictive models. These models aren’t about being perfectly right every time; they’re about significantly improving your odds and focusing your sales efforts on the most promising leads.
Looking ahead, we anticipate even more sophisticated models incorporating customer lifetime value predictions. But even with the tools available today, you can move beyond guesswork and start proactively identifying upsell opportunities. The first step? Audit your existing data sources and identify what information you’re already collecting that could be used to build a basic RFM model. From there, we can help you refine your approach and unlock significant revenue growth.